Lars Larson


Lars Larson

12:00pm - 3:00pm

Business News

White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said that negotiations over a phase one trade deal with China are down to the final stages, with both sides in communication every day. Talks are focusing on details such as the timeline of Chinese purchases of agricultural goods and Beijing’s demand for the removal of existing tariffs as part of a deal. This morning global shipping giant A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S added its voice to those warning about the fallout from the trade war, saying it is less optimistic about growth as the standoff dents the economic outlook. (Bloomberg)


The 50 state and territory attorneys general investigating Google for antitrust violations are set to expand their probe into the search and Android businesses, after initially focusing only on its ad business. The AGs will write up civil investigation demands to help the inquiry, but sources told CNBC the subpoenas might not be served immediately. Google already received a $5B fine in the EU for favoring its Android operating system, and the U.S. Department of Justice is reviewing the tech giant's business practices. (SA)


Amazon will appeal the Trump administration’s decision to grant a $10bn defense contract to its rival Microsoft, accusing the US government of having shown “unmistakable bias” in its procurement process.  The company said on Thursday it was lodging a legal case against the decision, following accusations that Donald Trump manipulated the process to harm Jeff Bezos, Amazon’s founder.  The Pentagon awarded the so-called Jedi cloud computing contract to Microsoft last month after several rounds of bidding.  (FT)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

Disney shares surged 7% to a record high on Wednesday after passing 10M subscribers to streaming service Disney+, which only debuted a day earlier. With a market capitalization now totaling $268B, the Mouse House is now twice as valuable as Netflix which has seen its market value tumble to about $124B amid slowing revenue growth and increasing competition. Important to note: Disney's increase was aided by its $71B acquisition of 21st Century Fox's entertainment assets, which was completed in March. (SA)


Walmart has sent a reassuring signal over the financial health of the American consumer ahead of the holiday shopping season, lifting annual profit forecasts on the back of higher quarterly sales. The world’s biggest retailer brushed aside rising world trade tensions and turmoil elsewhere in the sector to report accelerating sales growth, sending shares up over 3 per cent in pre-market trading.  Walmart’s US business led the way in the quarter, helping offset weakness in some overseas markets. Revenues across the group rose 2.5 per cent to $127bn.  (FT)


In testimony to Congress yesterday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell further warned that the federal budget is on "an unsustainable path," and with the national debt now topping $23T, it could make it difficult for the economy to recover from future market downturns. According to the Treasury Department, the federal deficit reached $134B in October - the first month of fiscal 2020. The figure has spiked following the GOP tax law and multiple bipartisan agreements to increase spending on defense and domestic programs. (WSJ)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all closed at record highs Friday, as the S&P finished a fifth consecutive week of gains and the Nasdaq posted its sixth straight weekly advance. The S&P 500 is on track for its best year since 2013, registering a 23.4% gain so far this year. U.S. stocks are open for regular trading today, but the Veterans Day holiday will see the bond market, banks and government offices closed, and there will be no mail delivery today. (CNBC)


Some 33% of people who traded in cars to buy new ones in the first nine months of 2019 had negative equity, compared with 28% five years ago and 19% a decade ago, according to Edmunds. Those borrowers owed about $5,000 on average after they traded in their cars, before taking on new loans. Five years ago the average was about $4,000.


Bi-Mart plans to stop filling prescriptions in 13 stores in the Portland area, blaming rising medical costs and a new Oregon business tax that kicks in January 1. The new tax Oregon lawmakers approved in May will raise taxes by $1 billion a year.

Just 44 days till Christmas and the shopping season is on.  Black Friday is November 29th this year.


Unemployment is at a five-decade low, workforce participation is at the highest level in six years and yet, 44% of Americans are low-wage workers. The median wage is $10.22 an hour, and their annual pay is $17,950.

Stocks rallied to record highs yesterday after the world’s two largest economies reportedly agreed to remove existing trade tariffs, sparking a huge rotation into equities and out of bonds.
The number of people who applied for unemployment benefits in early November fell to the lowest level in a month and clung near a half-century low, reflecting the resilience of the strongest labor market in decades.
Shares of Disney are higher after the company reported an earnings beat for its fiscal fourth-quarter.  The company earned $1.07/share, vs. 95 cents that was expected.  Disney’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings arrive just days before the company’s long-awaited streaming service, Disney+, is set to launch on November 12. The service costs $6.99 per month, or $69.99 per year, and will feature content from Disney, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars and more.
Mortgage rates dropped in the past week after rising in six of the last nine weeks, including most of the month of October.  The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.69% during the week ending Nov. 7, down three basis points from the previous week.  The rate on the 30-year mortgage is over a full percentage point lower than it was at this same time a year ago, when rates averaged 4.94%.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

US Stocks rose slightly yesterday to a fresh record high lifted by strong economic data and new developments between the U.S. and China on trade.
The service side of the U.S. economy rebounded in October after growth tapered off in the prior month to a three-year low, aided by reduced trade tensions between the U.S. and China.  The Institute for Supply Management’s said its non-manufacturing index rose to 54.7% last month from a 52.6% reading in September.  13 of the 17 industries tracked by ISM said their businesses were expanding.

The number of job openings in the United States slipped in September for the fourth month in a row to 7 million from 7.3 million.  Openings have declined as companies cut back on hiring with the U.S. economy growing more slowly. The percentage of people in the private sector who chose to leave their old jobs, known as the quit rate, edged down to 2.6% from 2.7%.


It turns out workers get more done and hate their jobs less when they are in the office less.  Last summer, Microsoft's Japan office tried an experiment. For one month, the office closed on Fridays, giving workers an extra day off, while paying them a full-time salary. Management also decided that no meetings would last more than 30 minutes and urged employees to cut down the amount of time they spent responding to emails. Called the "Work Life Choice Challenge," the experiment was wildly successful.  Measured by sales per employee, productivity reportedly went up 40 percent compared to the same time period the year before. The company also used 23 percent less electricity.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

We have been climbing a wall of worry. Ongoing recession fears, a trade war, a slowing global economy, an inverted yield curve and Brexit to name a few. All that wall climbing pushed the Dow, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to new record highs.  

The paper mill in West Linn is back open, two years after it closed.  The Willamette Falls Paper Co. began operation two months ago and is producing new classes of paper made from pulp and agricultural waste instead of wood. Willamette Falls employs 120 persons.


The percentage of Americans declaring bankruptcy age 55 to 64 has risen 66% from 1991 to 2016. The percentage declaring bankruptcy age 65 to 74 increased 204% from 1991 to 2016. Roughly 12% of bankruptcy filers are now 65 and older, up from about 2% in 1991. Why are so many older adults going bankrupt? One major factor behind the rise of these bankruptcies: medical debt. In fact, six out of 10 people 65 and older who file bankruptcy do so because they can’t afford to pay medical bills. 


Oregon Public Utility Commission has approved rate hikes for the state's three gas utilities, only the third time in the last ten years. The increase in the cost of natural gas is blamed on a pipeline explosion last winter. Typical residential customers will see their bill increase by $2.31, or 4.4 percent. 


Ride sharing leader Uber reported $1 billion quarterly losses in Q3.  The company has never made a profit.

Stocks rose sharply on Friday and are now at all time highs as investor sentiment got a lift from much stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data.
Saudi Arabia formally started its long-anticipated initial public offering of their state-run oil giant Saudi Aramco yesterday in hopes of raising billions of dollars for the kingdom.  Prince Mohammed hopes for a very-optimistic $2 trillion valuation for Aramco, which produces 10 million barrels of crude oil a day and provides some 10% of global demand.
Shares of Exxon Mobil traded lower after the company reported their third-quarter profit nearly halved, hit by lower oil prices and weaker margins in refining and chemicals, with its three major business reporting lower year-over-year profit.
About 70% of S&P 500 companies have reported quarterly earnings thus far, and of those companies 75% have reported better-than-expected earnings.
Gert Boyle, the longtime chairwoman of Oregon based Columbia Sportswear and the caustic star of the most memorable advertising campaign in outdoor apparel history, died yesterday morning at the age of 95.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

Stocks traded lower yesterday despite better-than-expected earnings from Facebook and Apple and the Federal Reserve’s third rate cut of 2019. Investors took a pause and turned their focus to U.S.-China trade negotiations.
A measure of factory activity in the Midwest weakened further in October.  The Chicago Purchasing Management Index sank to 43 in October from 47 the prior month. This is the lowest level since December 2015. Economists had expected a reading of 48.  Any reading below 50 indicates deteriorating conditions.

Americans spent more on new cars and trucks in September. Falling interest rates have made it less expensive to buy big-ticket items such as automobiles or homes. Spending on health care also increased.  Consumer spending rose 0.2% last month, which was a touch below the 0.3% forecast.

In other corporate news, Italian-American automaker Fiat Chrysler announced a landmark merger with French rival Peugeot, which will create the world’s fourth-largest car maker.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I’m Tyler Simones

Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve seem to have successfully walked the line on Wednesday, delivering their third insurance cut of the year while signaling that may be it. It was all very much as expected, and the markets took it in stride. The message that policy makers are in no rush to tighten policy was a minor flourish that sent stocks to another record and gave Treasuries a little boost. (Bloomberg)


Apple offered sceptics some proof on Wednesday that it can thrive in a future already saturated with iPhones by posting strong sales of accessories such as watches and headphones and offering bullish guidance for the holiday season.  The California tech group reported $64bn in revenue for the three months to September 30, up 2 per cent from a year ago, even as smartphone and Mac sales both declined. That was ahead of the median Wall Street estimate for $62.9bn, driven by 54 per cent growth in the group’s increasingly prized Wearables division — comprising watches, headphones and other accessories — to $6.5bn. Net income, however, fell 3 per cent to $13.7bn as operating costs rose from $8bn to $8.7bn. (FT)


Shares in Facebook rose as much as 6 per cent on Wednesday after the social media group topped third-quarter earnings forecasts, in a sign that advertisers and users continue to flock to the platform in spite of recent scandals and heightened regulatory scrutiny. Despite all the negative press lately, the underlying business remained buoyant in the third quarter.  Facebook’s earnings in the three months to the end of September stood at $2.12 a share, up 20 per cent compared with the same quarter in 2018, and well above consensus analyst forecasts of $1.91.  Meanwhile, revenues rose 29 per cent year-on-year to $17.7bn. (FirstFT)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili. Inc. cast a pall over earnings season as the effort to get packages from warehouse to doorstep in a single day led to its first year-over-year quarterly profit decline since 2017. Results elsewhere were mixed. Third-quarter income jumped at Barclays Plc, but Anheuser-Busch InBev NV blamed a drop in beer shipments in China and the U.S. as profit growth stumbled. Companies reporting today include Verizon Communications Inc., Nielsen Holdings Plc, Charter Communications Inc. and Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (Bloomberg)


Intel’s data center division returned to growth in the third quarter, pushing the chipmaker’s revenue and earnings above analysts’ expectations and fueling an 8 per cent bounce in its shares in after-market trading.  The recovery followed a six-month retreat as cloud computing customers cut back on capital spending after a period of booming investment. The cloud rebound left Intel with revenue of $19.2bn for the latest quarter, roughly in line with the previous year and well above the $18.05bn that Wall Street had been expecting. The chipmaker also raised its revenue guidance for the rest of this year by $1.5bn, to $71bn. (FT)


Top U.S. and Chinese trade officials reportedly will discuss plans today for China to buy more U.S. farm products, but in return, China wants cancellation of some planned and existing U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He plan to speak by telephone today as the two sides try to hammer out the text for a "Phase 1" trade deal announced earlier this month. (SA)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

Tesla shares soared 20 per cent in after-hours trading after the electric car pioneer posted a net quarterly profit, surprising analysts, issued a bullish outlook, and said its Model Y sport utility vehicle was “ahead of schedule” and would launch next summer.

The Fremont, California-based group’s net profit in the third quarter was $143m, providing huge relief to investors following a cumulative loss of $1.1bn in the first half of the year. Tesla posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.86, better than even the most bullish of Wall Street analysts’ forecasts.  (FT)

Industrial group 3M downgraded its full-year earnings outlook and said weakness in the Asia-Pacific region depressed it third-quarter revenues.  Sales fell 2 per cent from a year ago to $7.99bn in the third quarter — as growth in its healthcare and consumer businesses was offset by declines in its transportation and electronics and safety units. (First FT)


There were more signs of weakening global growth in the latest economic data. Factory activity fell to the lowest level in three years in Japan, while the economic expansion in South Korea slowed. Purchasing manager numbers for the euro area showed the region remains on the brink of a contraction, with signs in Germany that the manufacturing slump is starting to take a toll on employment. One bright spot was a surprise increase in the French services sector. PMI numbers for the U.S. economy are due later today. (Bloomberg)

Weekly jobless claims total 212,000, vs 215,000 expected, and durable goods orders declined 1.1% in September, missing expectations.  (CNBC)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

Stocks rose yesterday, moving closer to record highs as trade and earnings optimism lift Wall Street sentiment.

Boeing stock continued to slide yesterday and this morning after explosive messages last week revealed a top pilot had concerns about a system on the 737 Max that was later implicated in two fatal crashes.  Several Wall Street analysts also downgraded Boeing, fretting about the fallout from the crisis that has barred the manufacturer from delivering its best-selling planes that make up around 40% of its profit.
Oregon’s jobless rate was 4.1% in September, the 35th consecutive month it has been at or near the lowest point on record. And the state is enjoying exceptional income growth.  Yet new data out this past week show employment growth has slowed to a crawl. The Oregon Employment Department reported the state added just 200 jobs in September.  This slowing isn’t necessarily bad news by itself – slower growth is inevitable after any long period of economic expansion. And Oregon’s current expansion is among the state’s longest on record.
Yesterday Facebook announced that they removed networks tied to Russia and Iran from its services as it launches new features designed to make posts related to the upcoming 2020 U.S. presidential election more transparent.  The company said it removed three networks of fake accounts and pages tied to Iran and another network with links to Russia’s Internet Research Agency, the group that was accused of using Facebook and other websites to interfere with the 2016 U.S. presidential election.


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

US Stocks traded higher last week on the back of some better than expected earnings reports.
The U.S. grew more slowly in September and is likely to remain soft in the months ahead, according to an index that measures the nation’s economic health.  The leading economic index slipped 0.1% in September and fell for the second month in a row.  The index fell mostly because of weakness among American manufacturers, whose sales have suffered from sluggish exports and disruptions in their supply chains caused by the U.S. trade war with China.
Coca-Cola shares popped amid a down market after the beverage company’s quarterly revenue beat Wall Street expectations, with healthier options like Zero Sugar soda and smaller size cans leading the way.  The 2020 launch of a Coke energy drink competitor to Red Bull and Monster Beverage in the U.S. market could add as much as $200 million in sales.
According to local attorney Jeff Eager and the Eager report, in the last seven years, Bend has experienced as much economic and socio-economic change as many cities see in 50 years. In October 2012, the unemployment rate was 10.1%, now it's around 4%.  The population was around 78,500 then; now there are around 20,000 more of us, all driving on Mt. Washington Drive at 8:30 a.m. each weekday.
International Stocks
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

China’s gross domestic product rose 6% in the three months to September, the slowest pace since the early 1990s, and below consensus forecast. A slowdown in investment was the main driver for the lower-than-expected number. Investors are looking to a meeting of the Communist Party’s top leadership, due in the coming days, for a possible review of stimulus measures. There is a feeling, however, that officials are allowing growth to run a little slower as they seek to clean up the financial system and deal with excess leverage. The country’s benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closed 1.3% lower in the wake of the data. (Bloomberg)


The U.S. is slapping tariffs on $7.5B worth of European goods today. Aircraft produced in the European Union will be slapped with 10% tariffs, while a group of consumer products that includes wine, whiskey and cheese will be slapped with 25% tariffs. Earlier this week, the World Trade Organization cleared Washington to take action after concluding that Airbus received billions of dollars in illegal subsidies over the years. (SA)


In earnings news, Coca-Cola has lifted guidance for annual revenues and profits after demand for its eponymous drinks brand and new products boosted quarterly results.  Shares rose 1.9 per cent in pre-market trading on Friday to $54.81 after the Atlanta-based company said third quarter organic revenues rose 5 per cent. Net income climbed from $1.81bn a year ago to $2.59bn. (FT)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

International stocks are higher this morning as EU and UK negotiators have agreed a new Brexit deal, leaving Boris Johnson with the challenge of selling the accord to political allies at home. The text of the deal was being shared with national capitals ahead of a key leaders’ summit in Brussels later on Thursday. The UK prime minister is still struggling to win political backing for the accord - raising questions over Mr. Johnson’s ability to clinch support for the deal in the Westminster parliament — an issue that is likely to hang over the upcoming leaders’ summit.  But, reaching an agreed text represents a big leap forward for Mr. Johnson following weeks of inconclusive talks between UK and EU negotiators. Mr. Johnson will ask EU leaders tonight not to offer another Brexit extension. (FT)


Netflix jumped double digits in after-hours trading after its Q3 earnings showed a rebound from poor subscriber results in Q2, even while it hinted toward hotter competition in coming quarters. The company added 6.77M net subscribers vs. last quarter's 2.7M, and said forward guidance accounted for pressure from upcoming services such as Disney Plus, Apple TV Plus, AT&T's HBO Max, and NBC's Peacock.  But the potential market is large, Netflix said, and "we are all small compared to linear TV". (SA)


Nestle said it will start a new stock buyback program in January and may complement it with special dividends, seeking to return as much as $20B to shareholders by 2022. The news comes as the company also reported YTD sales rose 3.7%, in line with analyst estimates, helped by Starbucks-branded coffee for Nespresso machines and Purina pet food. Nestle also signals it is ramping up its M&A focus as it unveils a new management group to seek out growth opportunities, and says it is restructuring its bottled water unit - where YTD sales have slipped - to focus on faster growing brands such as Perrier and S. Pellegrino. (WSJ)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

The U.S. could see shortages of pork bellies and ham with the spread of a pig-killing disease in China. American pork exports to China will likely see 12% growth in 2019 and 13% growth in 2020. China’s pork prices surged 69.3% in September from a year ago.


Retirees will get a 1.6% cost-of-living increase from Social Security in 2020. The increase amounts to $24 a month for the average retired worker. 


Costco sold 91 million rotisserie chickens last year, more than double the number from a decade prior. Costco has sold rotisserie chickens at $4.99 since 2009.  


The European brewer Carlsberg is working on beer bottles made of paper from sustainably sourced wood fiber. 

Walmart is launching a new service that will deliver groceries, and put them away in your fridge. InHome grocery delivery is a $19.95 membership program and requires shoppers to purchase a $49.95 smart door lock kit. 


The UK government's climate advisory body says frequent flier programs should be banned and a tax on frequent flyers implemented in order to reduce carbon emissions. 


Forty-three percent of cyberattacks are aimed at small businesses. Costing small businesses $200,000 on average, with 60% of them going out of business within six months.


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management I am Troy Reinhart.

JPMorgan Chase has recorded its best ever third quarter for investment banking fees, helping the bank to beat its earnings forecasts for the three months and taking the sting out of the division’s recent troubled listings including WeWork and Peloton.

America’s biggest bank was the lead manager in WeWork’s defunct initial public offering and also had a key role in listing Peloton, whose shares fell sharply after it floated in late September.  JPMorgan said that its investment banking division enjoyed an 8 per cent rise in revenues for the quarter, which came in at $1.9bn. (FT)


Johnson & Johnson raised forecasts for adjusted sales and earnings for the full year on the back of better than expected third-quarter results, while warning of uncertainty surrounding legal costs. The world’s largest healthcare company now expects sales, adjusted for currency fluctuations and divestitures, to grow between 4.5 and 5 per cent this year, compared with its last forecast for growth of between 3.2 and 3.7 per cent. Sales — driven by growth in the pharmaceuticals division — rose 1.9 per cent year-on-year to $20.7bn. (WSJ)


Goldman Sachs suffered a worse than expected 18 per cent fall in net income during the third quarter, with trading emerging as the only bright spot in the bank’s four core divisions. The 150-year-old institution, which has promised investors a strategic update in January, posted net income of almost $1.8bn.  Goldman Sachs shares are up more than 23 per cent so far this year, but it still trades at below the book value of its assets. (FirstFT)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili

China’s agreement to boost agricultural purchases and the White House’s decision to hold off on increasing tariffs on the country, sealed with a handshake on Friday, might be enough to keep prospects alive for a comprehensive deal between the two sides, but it isn’t sufficient for a reassessment of the global growth outlook. Adding to those doubts this morning is news that China wants further talks as soon as this month to iron out the details of the “phase one” deal before signing it. A health check for the world economy is due tomorrow when the International Monetary Fund revises its growth forecast. (Bloomberg)


Earnings season will provide another gauge of economic strength and an insight into how dividend payments are holding up in the face of disappearing profit growth. For the big U.S. banks, the focus will be on how they’re keeping costs in line in an environment where interest rates remain lower than previously forecast. JPMorgan Chase & Co. gets the ball rolling tomorrow, quickly followed by Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Wells Fargo & Co. and Citigroup Inc. (Refinitiv)


This week will also bring updates on two important parts of the US economy, the American consumer and factory sector.  Consumers have driven economic growth but concerns are emerging about whether they may start to curb spending in response to trade uncertainty and slower growth. Economists expect retail sales to have climbed 0.3 per cent month-on-month in September, with so-called control sales, an underlying measure of purchases also estimates to have climbed by the same margin.  However, expectations for industrial production are grim as economist’s anticipate a 0.2 per cent decline overall and a 0.3 per cent drop in the manufacturing component. (FT)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

US Stocks rose yesterday after President Donald Trump said he will meet with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He today, raising hope the two countries could make progress on the trade front.
Applications for U.S. unemployment benefits fell in the first week of October and clung near a 50-year low, suggesting that layoffs still haven’t risen much even as hiring and the economy have slowed.
Consumer inflation in the U.S. was held in check in September by falling prices of gasoline and used vehicles, giving the Federal Reserve further cause to cut interest rates if the economy gets any weaker.
Millions of retirees will get a modest 1.6% cost-of-living increase from Social Security in 2020, an uptick with potential political consequences in an election year when Democrats are pushing more generous inflation protection.  The increase amounts to $24 a month for the average retired worker, according to estimates released by the Social Security Administration.
PepsiCo reported better-than-expected earnings, sales and organic revenues in the third quarter thanks to high returns from investment in marketing and advertisements. Further expansion in the company’s portfolio and ramp up of production facilities will help it grow in the near future.  The company has had record high sales in nine out of the last 11 quarters.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

Stocks traded higher yesterday after a report surfaced that China is prepared to accept a partial trade deal as long as no more tariffs are imposed by President Donald Trump
The denim apparel maker Levi Strauss posted better-than-expected third-quarter earnings of 31 cents a share on revenue of $1.45 billion, but the stock traded lower after the company reported they are struggling to grow their wholesale business in the US which is their largest market.
Median home prices dropped in Bend and Redmond last month compared to August, but they remained higher in both cities compared to September 2018, according to The Beacon Report.  In Bend, the median price for a single-family home last month dipped to $440,000, a decline of about 7% from the record-setting price in August.

Bacon addicts, beware: Top pork producer are warning of shortages.  According to Smithfield Foods, the world's biggest pork producer the U.S. could see tight supplies, or even some shortages of pork bellies and ham next year as the spread of a pig-killing disease in China ripples through the global market.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

Stocks traded lower again yesterday as investor optimism around the upcoming U.S.-China trade talks continue to fade.
Optimism among small-business owners fell in September mainly because of the impact of tariffs and uncertainty about the future economy, according to a survey from the National Federation of Independent Business.  The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index had a September reading of 101.8, down 1.3 points from 103.1 in August.  About 30% of owners surveyed said they were negatively affected by tariffs.

The wholesale cost of U.S. goods and services posted the steepest decline in September since the first month of the year, largely reflecting lower gasoline prices and signaling that inflation is likely to remain low.  The producer price index sank 0.3% last month, reversing most of the increase in the prior two months.  Economist had forecast a .1% increase.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank will expand their balance sheet “soon.” He noted this measure will be used as a response to the recent funding issues the bond market faced in recent weeks.  Powell said this is not quantitative easing. Rather, Powell was referring to a more gradual increase to the balance sheet.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

US Stocks were lower yesterday as traders have doubts about a US-China trade deal.
The U.S. jobs market’s resilience is not extending to wages, which fell in September for the first time in two years, as companies still aren’t ready to meet a tight labor market with higher pay and workers still are not demanding more.  While the September payrolls report showed that the 3.5% unemployment rate is at a fresh 50-year low, it also indicated that average hourly earnings are on the decline.
General Electric Co said yesterday they would freeze pensions for about 20,000 salaried U.S. employees and take other related moves to help the ailing conglomerate cut debt and reduce its retirement fund deficit by up to $8 billion.  Analysts said the move would largely offset the rise in GE's pension obligations due to lower interest rates.  GE has been taking steps to reduce the $106 Billion in debt they have on their balance sheet.
A groundbreaking research study released yesterday by Humana reveals that $1 out of every $4 spent on health care in the U.S. annually is being wasted. It's a situation that needs to be addressed by the industry at a time when consumers are grappling with spiraling medical costs.  Administrative complexity causes $265 billion to be misspent annually and the cost of complexity can become waste when clinicians and health plans work separately, despite our common goals.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones.

US Stocks traded lower last week after some weak manufacturing data stoked fears that the economy may be slowing.
The U.S. trade deficit widened in August to $55 billion.  Both import and exports increased, but imports rose at a faster pace. August exports of autos and auto parts were the highest since July 2014. Imports of consumer goods were the highest on record. Year-to-date, the U.S. is running a $429 billion deficit, up from $400 billion over the same period last year. Economists expect the trade gap will be a slight drag on third quarter growth.
The United Auto Workers’ strike against General Motors could continue for the foreseeable future, as the union on Sunday said talks between the sides have “taken a turn for the worse.”  About 48,000 UAW members with GM have been on strike and picketing outside the automaker’s U.S. facilities since Sept. 16. The work stoppage has caused a ripple-effect throughout the automaker’s North American operations, causing thousands of additional layoffs. It also has contributed to a double-digit decline GM shares during the past three weeks.
Oregon state workforce analyst Christian Kaylor noted last week that new Census data shows Portland’s median household income shot up by 34% between 2005 to 2018. Kaylor found the city, which had been the nation’s 22nd wealthiest, was No. 8 last year with a median household income of more than $73,000.
With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, I'm Tyler Simones

Today’s jobs data may bookend the bad week in markets amid mounting signs of a slowdown coming to the U.S. For many investors, payrolls will cast a deciding vote. A temporary boost from census hiring is has helped non-farm payrolls expand by 136,000, with unemployment at a 50 year low of 3.5% and hourly earnings growth slightly below trend at 2.9%. The weaker-than-expected outcome is likely to bolster the chances of two more Federal Reserve rates cuts by the end of the year. (Bloomberg)


HP plans to cut as many as 9,000 jobs as part of broader plans at the computer and printer maker to reduce costs and simplify its business.  In a statement the Palo Alto-based company said that it cut its global headcount by between 7,000 and 9,000 roles via redundancies and voluntary early retirements. That works out as a 16 per cent cut to its workforce based on a total headcount of 55,000 as of the end of 2018.  HP expects to book about $1bn in restructuring charges between now and fiscal year 2022 as a result, but anticipates that the job losses will also generate about $1bn in savings by the end of 2022. (FT)


MGM Resorts has agreed to a settlement of up to $800m with survivors and family of victims killed in a 2017 mass shooting in Las Vegas, the deadliest ever on American soil.  MGM Resorts, which owns the Mandalay Bay Resort, has agreed to pay between $735m to $800m to resolve legal cases against it, depending on the number of claimants who choose to participate in the settlement. It has not admitted any liability.
The settlement fund will be paid for by MGM Resorts’ insurers with a minimum of $735m. MGM Resorts has insurance coverage for $751m. (SA)


With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Josh Fenili.

U.S. stocks are steady as Wall Street comes off a tumultuous two days that has seen the Dow drop more than 800 points and the major averages slide to their lowest levels since late August. The S&P 500 is coming its first back-to-back drops of 1% or more this year.


ATM bank fees hit a record high. Customers are paying an all-in average fee of $4.72 to withdraw from ATMs outside of their bank’s network, according to This charge is up 33% over the last 10 years. 


Business Insider released the results of a survey that asked customers to rank the restaurant cleanliness of various fast food restaurants. Chick-fil-A topped the list. In second place was In-N-Out and next was Starbucks. 


The World Trade Organization has backed a U.S. request to impose tariffs on $7.5 billion of European goods. The WTO say there are illegal subsidies granted to planemaker Airbus by the European governments of Germany, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom. The U.S. first lodged complaints in 2004.


The Trail Blazers have ended their partnership with Beaverton-based rifle scope manufacturer Leupold and Stevens. Members of the Portland Democratic Socialists of America, Lutherans for Justice in the Holy Land, Portland’s Resistance and Jewish Voice For Peace staged protests last year to pressure the Blazers to end their partnership with Leupold, which makes a variety of scopes, binoculars and rangefinders.




  • Purcell Bridge traffic with lane closures, complete closures at times (10/18-5/1)