Business News Archives for 2016-10

Caterpillar Forecast Shakes Stocks

US Stocks traded lower for the 2nd straight day yesterday led lower by the world’s largest company Apple after the company reported disappointing earnings.

Heavy equipment maker Caterpillar took the wrecking ball to its 2016 results, bringing down sentiment about the health of the world economy in the process.  Caterpillar lowered their full year guidance and current earnings were worse than expected which sent shares lower.

Shares of Tesla Motors are higher after the company actually reported a profit instead of the loss that was expected.  Tesla earned 71 cents per share when they were expected to lose 54 cents a share.  The company also delivered 500 more cars in the quarter than Wall St had expected.

The Case-Shiller US home price index rose .4% in August and was up 5.1% compared with the same period a year ago.  The cities with the largest price gains over the last 12 months were Portland which rose 11.7% and Seattle at 11.4%.

And the consumer confidence index dropped this month more than was expected.  The American consumer is feeling less confident about the US economy leading up to the Presidential Election.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management I’m Tyler Simones
 

Earnings!

U.S. stocks finished lower on yesterday, giving back some of the previous day’s advance as worries about a lackluster slew of earnings reports and a slip in a reading of consumer confidence weighed on market sentiment.

In Corporate Earnings news:
Apple posted its third consecutive decline in quarterly revenue and profit yesterday, as the company searches for a way to offset falling sales of its flagship iPhone.  The results also marked Apple’s first decline in annual revenue and profit since 2001. Apple said net income fell 19% to $9 billion, or $1.67 a share, from $11.1 billion, or $1.96 a share, in the same period a year earlier.

General Motors shares fell 3.7% even as auto giant’s quarterly profit doubled. GM also posted higher revenue on strong U.S. truck sales. But it signaled continued weakness in Europe because of the fallout from the U.K.’s pending exit from the European Union, or Brexit.
Under Armour’s shares plunged 13% after the company issued a profit warning. The decline came even as the athletic gear maker reported a 28% rise in third-quarter profit and an expansion of its market share, but those results were overshadowed by its warning.
Lockheed Martin Corp shares jumped 7.1% after the aerospace company posted higher-than-expected revenue and hiked its dividend.
Procter & Gamble gained 4.1% after the consumer goods company reported earnings ahead of forecasts.
Shares in Whirlpool had their biggest ever one day price decline after the appliance maker reported third-quarter profit and sales that missed expectations, and issued a downbeat outlook.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management I’m Tyler Simones

Merger Week

U.S. stocks traded higher yesterday, getting a lift from a heavy round of merger announcements, including AT&T’s planned acquisition of Time Warner.  The benchmark S&P 500 Index is now trading about 2% below its all-time high set on August 15th.

It seems this is merger week with the big merger of AT&T and Time Warner we are also seeing announcements from aerospace suppliers Rockwell Collins buying B/E Aerospace for $6.4 Billion, and TD Ameritrade Holdings has announced they will buy Scottrade for $4 Billion.

The maker of Kleenex, and Huggies diapers, Kimberly-Clark, saw their shares fall 5% after the company reported third-quarter earnings that missed consensus estimates and they cut their full-year guidance.  The company expects its restructuring program, launched in 2014, to be complete by the end of 2016.  The cost savings the company expected to see haven’t materialized.

The world's largest payments network operator, Visa, reported a 28 percent rise in quarterly profit as customers spent more using the network.  Visa earned $1.93 Billion during the quarter which was a good surprise to investors who bid the stock higher.

General Motors Co.’s Buick has become the first domestic car brand in more than 30 years to be among the top three most reliable brands, while Tesla Motors Inc., ranked for the first time this year, has placed near bottom, Consumer Reports magazine said yesterday.  GM’s Buick joined Toyota Motor Corp.’s Lexus and Toyota brands as the nonprofit magazine’s most reliable.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management I’m Tyler Simones
 

Merger Monday

US Stocks snapped a 2 week losing streak last week finishing slightly higher on the back of a slew of strong earnings reports.  This week is a huge week for earnings with 128 companies in the S&P 500 reporting earnings, including the world’s 2 largest companies Google and Apple.

The big news over the weekend was AT&T reached an agreement to buy Time Warner for between $105 and $110/share or $85 Billion.  The deal which will be half cash and half stock is likely to draw very close scrutiny from regulators.  The deal is a gamble that Hillary Clinton will win the election as Trump has said he would block the deal.

In other deal news, British American Tabaco announced a $47 Billion takeover of Reynolds America Tobacco, which will create the world’s largest tobacco company.  This deal continues the trend of consolidation in the tobacco industry.

Americans on Social Security will get a .3% raise in their Social Security check in 2017.  It will be just enough to buy a couple of cups of coffee at Starbucks every month.  The average monthly benefit will rise from $1,355/month to $1,360/month.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management I’m Tyler Simones
 

Microsoft Shares at All Time High

Microsoft sales of its cloud product doubled in the quarter sending shares to an all-time high, not seen since 1999 at the peak of the tech stock bubble. Sales from its cloud product Azure, which businesses can use to host their websites, apps or data, rose 116%.  Microsoft reported total revenue of $22.33 billion in the quarter. (Reuters)

General Electric profits jumped 10% in the third quarter, and revenue grew 4.4%. Slow economic growth in the oil and gas business, weighed on revenue. (Reuters)

McDonald's posted a third-quarter profit of $1.28 billion. The world's biggest hamburger chain had sales of $6.42 billion. Comparable-store sales rose 3.5% in the quarter. The company said all-day breakfast, the McPick 2 offering, and the introduction of chicken McNuggets without artificial preservatives helped sales during the quarter. McDonald’s stock has dropped more than 6% in 2016. (AP)

Wells Fargo, in the wake of an illegal sales scandal, is no longer accredited by the Better Business Bureau, making it possibly the biggest business ever to lose it.
The BBB website gives Wells Fargo a grade of "C-" on a scale of "A+" to "F." (CNBC)

Join us this weekend for Financial Focus Radio when we will tackle low interest rates.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Oil Hits a 15-month High

Mortgage application volume ground out a 0.6% increase last week according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Applications are 18.5% higher than a year ago. Mortgage applications to purchase a home are 13% higher than one year ago. Refinance applications are up 22.4% from a year ago. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit its highest level since June at 3.73%.

Housing starts posted a 1-1/2-year low in September amid a steep decline in the construction of multi-family homes. Housing starts dropped 9.0%. Single-family home starts jumped 8.1%.   Multi-family starts plunged 38.0%, but rents are rising at their fastest pace in 10 years. (Reuters)

Wells Fargo is under criminal investigation by the California attorney general.  The investigation centers the creation of over two million unauthorized accounts for unsuspecting customers by the bank's sales staff, involving identity theft. (AP)

Mattel, the largest U.S. toymaker, saw Q3 sales increase less than half of a percent but profits climbed almost 6%. Barbie worldwide sales increased 15.8%, Hot Wheels sales climbed about 6% and sales of American Girl jumped 14%. (Reuters)  

S&P 500 is flat and the NASDAQ is flat. MSCI International Index is flat.

Oil is down 78 cents at $50.88 a barrel. Yesterday oil hit a 15-month high of $51.60 per barrel, due to a decline in American inventories and an expectation of an OPEC-led production cut. (Reuters)

Gold is up $2 at $1272 a Troy ounce.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.
 

29 Years Removed from Armageddon

It only seemed like the world was ending. Today marks 29 years since the October 1987 stock market crash, which saw the Dow plunge 22%.

U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in September as the cost of gasoline and rents jumped.  But underlying inflation showed signs of moderating amid a slowdown in the pace of increases in healthcare costs. The year-on-year increase in the core CPI was 2.2% through September. (Reuters)

The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index fell 2 points in October to 63. Anything above 50 is considered positive sentiment. Builder confidence stands at its second-highest level in 2016. Shortages of lots and labor continue to be a concern, as those have driven costs higher. (CNBC)

Oregon’s largest employer and the world's largest chipmaker, Intel, reported its strongest quarterly growth in nearly five years in the third-quarter. Total profits climbed 9.1%. Intel is in the middle of a transition, reducing its dependence on the fading PC market. Sales from the data center business, which offers storage and cloud-based software services, rose 9.7% from a year earlier. Revenue from the company's PC business, which accounts for over half of Intel's total revenue, rose 4.5%. (AP)

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Oregon Company in Play

U.S. industrial production edged up 0.1% in September.  The industrial sector continues to be hobbled by the strong dollar and low oil prices.  Manufacturing output rose 0.2%.   Mining production increased 0.4% on gains in oil and gas well drilling. Mining output rose at a 3.7% pace in the third quarter following six consecutive quarterly declines. Industrial capacity use edged up 0.1% to 75.4%. (Reuters)

Mentor Graphics, based in Wilsonville, Oregon, makes software for designing semiconductors.  They have hired Bank of America to explore strategic alternatives, including a potential sale. Mentor has been under pressure by activist investors lately and  
fended off a hostile takeover by rival Cadence Design Systems in 2008. (Reuters)

Johnson & Johnson the world's largest maker of healthcare products, saw strong numbers fueled by prescription drug sales jumping 9.2% to $8.40 billion.
The maker of products ranging from Tylenol to Band-Aid bandages to Acuvue contact lenses raised its profit estimate for 2016. J&J agreed last month to buy Abbott Laboratories' medical optics business for $4.3 billion. J&J's shares have gained about 15% in 2016. (Reuters)

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.
 

Retail Sales Jump

Wells Fargo's had quarterly profits down 3.5% at $5.6 billion. Wells Fargo revenue in the quarter was $22.33 billion, up 2% from a year earlier. It is too early to see the total, long-term impact the recent fraud and scandal will have on Wells' bottom line, since most of the developments from the scandal broke when the quarter was nearly over. Consumer checking account openings dropped by 25% from a year earlier. Wells is the nation's largest mortgage lender. (AP)

Retail sales rose 0.6% in September according to the Commerce Department. During the first nine months of the year, retail sales have increased 2.9% compared with 2015. Sales rose 2.4% at gas stations, restaurants improved 0.8% and auto dealers notched monthly gains of 1%.

U.S. producer prices rose 0.3% in September according to the Labor Department. Oil prices rose 2.5% last month, food prices rose 0.5%, with a 26% jump in chicken eggs and 10.5% increase in vegetables. Over the past year, wholesale prices have increased just 0.7%.  

The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment hit 87.9 in October, its lowest since Sept. 2015. The October decline was concentrated among households with incomes below $75,000, whose index fell to its lowest level since Aug. 2014.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.
 

New Unemployment Claims Set Record Low

As we start of trading this Friday, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq are on track to post back-to-back weekly declines. We closed lower on Thursday, but well off the worst levels of the session. The Nasdaq is on its longest losing streak in three months. (CNBC)

Americans filing for unemployment benefits were at a 43-year low this week. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits stand at 246,000. It has been 84 consecutive weeks that claims have been below the 300,000 threshold, which is associated with robust labor market. That is the longest stretch since 1970, when the labor market was much smaller. (CNBC)

JPMorgan Chase, the largest U.S. bank by assets and revenue, saw quarterly profits fall 8% from a year ago, to $6.29 billion. Higher revenue in retail and investment banking was offset by more reserves to cover bad loans. Revenue rose 8.2% to $24.67 billion. (AP)

HP Incorporated, maker of printers and PC’s, issued a down beat 2017 forecast. They plans to cut 3,000 to 4,000 jobs over the next three years. (WSJ)

Join us this weekend for Financial Focus Radio when we will tell you why your bonds may not be safe.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Stocks Rattled by International Concerns

World markets are under pressure as China's exports in September tumbled 10% and imports fell 1.9%. (Fox News)

John Stumpf has “retired” as chairman and CEO of Wells Fargo bank.  This comes after he did a terrible job explaining why his employees opened over 2 million unauthorized client accounts and what he was going to do as the banks leader to fix it. COO Tim Sloan takes over as CEO. Executive-pay tracker Equilar estimates Stumpf will walk from Wells Fargo with about $134 million, despite agreeing last month to forfeit $41 million in unvested equity. And the big banks wonder why they have trust issues. (USA Today/CNBC)

Harley-Davidson, ticker symbol, HOG, will increase its emphasis on Asian sales, according to CEO Matthew Levatich. He is optimistic about growing the company's business in both existing and new Asian markets. (CNBC)

73 days till Christmas and Amazon is hiring in excess of 120,000 holiday season workers in 2016. In 2015, the e-commerce giant hired about 100,000 persons, with more than 14,000 staying on as full time employees after the holidays. (CNBC)

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Oil Stockpiles Decline

Whole Foods stock is climbing on speculation that Kroger might be interested in purchasing the company according to the Investor’s Business Daily. Kroger is rumored to be offering to buy the company in a cash/stock bid of $40 per share. Whole Foods operates 10 outlets in Oregon, including one in Bend.

Total oil stockpiles fell in August for the first time since March, according to the International Energy Agency.  But there is a continued buildup of refined fuels. Overall oil inventories fell by 10 million barrels, led by a 22-million-barrel decline in crude stocks in the United States, Japan and South Korea.

Stanley Black & Decker, makers of DeWalt, Mac, and their name brand tools, is an S&P 500 global diversified industrial company.  They are acquiring the Tools business of Newell Brands, makers of Irwin and Lenox, for $1.95 billion in cash. Newell Tools operates globally and has more than 2,500 employees. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and is expected to close in the first half of 2017. (PR Newswire)

Total mortgage applications volume fell 6%. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 3.68% from 3.62%. Mortgage applications to purchase a home are up 27% from a year ago. (Mortgage Bankers Association)

S&P 500 is down 1 and the NASDAQ is down 2. MSCI International Index is down 0.51%.

Oil is up 25 cents at $50.86 a barrel.

Gold is down $2 at $1254 a Troy ounce.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

More Accusations against Wells Fargo

The percent of small business owners who expect better business conditions in the next six months jumped 12% last month, according to the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends Report.  The NFIB Index of Small Business Optimism was essentially flat in September. Inventories fell seven points while hard-to-fill job openings plunged six points landing at 24%.

More bad news for big bank Wells Fargo. According to the Wall Street Journal Wells Fargo bank managers pushed employees to sign up customers for costly overdraft protection they did not need or realize they were getting.

Caterpillar was upgraded to "buy" from "neutral" at Goldman Sachs, on optimism about further stock gains. The heavy equipment maker was already the Dow's best year-to-date performer with a gain of nearly 30%. (CNBC)

Lobster had become affordable over the past few years, but now prices have hit their highest levels in 11 years thanks to demand. Demand comes with the popularity of the lobster roll which has become a hipster favorite. Lobster prices are now at wholesale prices of $6 a pound. The lobster market fell to historical lows, with wholesale prices hitting $3.70 in 2009. (Financial Times)

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Commodities Rebound from a Bad Week

It is holiday central in the world today. U.S. stocks are trading normally, but the bond market is closed for the Columbus Day holiday. Stock markets in Japan and Hong Kong were closed today due to a public holiday. (CNBC)

Third quarter earnings season kicks off Tuesday with Alcoa.  Then kicks into high gear the rest of the week.  Most notably on Friday we get the big banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. (Seeking Alpha)

Donald Trump in the debate last night made the incorrect claim the United States economy is enduring the "slowest growth since 1929."  While the U.S. economy is currently growing slower than it did following World War II or the late 1990s, it has not shrunk in the last few years, as it did several times since 1929. The U.S. economy has contracted in eight individual years since 1930. Most recently it shrank in 2009. (Commerce Department/CNBC)

S&P 500 is up 12 and the NASDAQ is up 24. MSCI International Index is up.

Oil is up 57 cents at $50.38 a barrel. Oil finished three straight weeks of gains as WTI peaked above $50 per barrel.  

Gold is up $9 at $1261 a Troy ounce. Gold posted its worst week since 2013, down 4.5% for the week. Silver posted its biggest weekly drop in more than three years last week, down 8.5%.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Jobs! Jobs! And More Jobs Numbers!

It is jobs Friday.  The Labor Department says the US economy created 156,000 jobs in September. The private sector added 167,000 and government shed 11,000. The unemployment rate rose to 5%.

Layoffs by U.S.-based companies rose in September to the highest level in two months, but is 25% below the announced job cuts a year ago. There were 44,324 layoffs, a 38% increase from August. The biggest job cutter last month was the education sector, cutting 8,671 jobs. Cuts in the computer industry in September totaled 4,152 jobs.
The announced job cuts in September brought the total for the year to 435,612, 12% percent below the same nine-month period last year. (Challenger, Gray & Christmas)

Filings for U.S. unemployment benefits fell last week to the lowest level since 1973. Jobless claims dropped by 5,000 to 249,000. Filings have been below 300,000 for 83 straight weeks -- the longest streak since 1970. The number of people continuing to receive jobless benefits declined by 6,000 to 2.06 million. (Labor Department)

Join us the weekend for Financial Focus Radio when we will look toward the December Fed rate hike.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.
 

Big Economic Data Day

The U.S. trade deficit rose in August as a rise in imports offset higher exports. The trade gap widened 3% to $40.73 billion. Imports hit their highest level since September 2015, while exports were the highest since July 2015. Exports to China rose 2.6% and were up 1.2% to the European Union.  Imports of goods and services increased 1.2% to $228.58 billion in August. Imports from China increased 9.5%. (Commerce Department)

The ISM non-manufacturing Index says the US services sector grew in September for the 80th consecutive month. The index hit 57.1 in September. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the service sector. Business activity increased to 60.3, 8.5% higher than the prior month. The employment index increased by 6.5%. (Institute for Supply Management)

U.S. factory goods orders increased 0.2% in August, as the manufacturing sector is beginning to regain steam. Manufacturing comprises about 12% of the economy. It has been slowed by the strong dollar. (Commerce Department)

The world is drowning in $152 trillion dollars of debt, according to the IMF, an all-time high which sits at more than double the balance at the start of this century.

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Holiday Shopping is Upon Us

Just 81 days till Christmas and the holiday shopping season is upon us. The National Retail Federation expects retail sales to rise 3.6% in November and December, to $655.8 billion. That is better than last year's 3% increase, and would top the 10-year average of 2.5% growth. Non-store sales, which skew toward online, anticipates, an increase between 7% and 10%, to $117 billion. (National Retail Federation)

Sears CEO says the struggling retailer plans to keep operating the Kmart chain, even as it looks at selling its Kenmore, Craftsman, and DieHard brands. The company has not posted a profit in five years. (WSJ)

Constellation Brands, makers of Corona beer, Woodbridge wine, and Black Velvet spirits, posted quarterly profits of $358.9 million. The wine, liquor and beer company posted revenue of $2.02 billion in the period. Constellation Brands shares are up 16% since the beginning of 2016. (AP)

Amazon is making another splash. Prime members are now able to read as much as they like from a selection of over a thousand top Kindle books, magazines, short works, comic books, children's books and more — all at no additional cost. (CNBC)

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.
 

Manufacturing continues to expand

The September Markit Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.5, a three-month low. U.S. manufacturers signaled another moderate upturn in both production volumes and incoming new work during September, but the latest survey indicated a further loss of growth momentum from July's recent peak. (Reuters)

In the world of motor vehicles Nissans U.S. auto sales rose 4.9% percent in September. Ford reported sales fell of 8%. Toyota rose 1.5%. General Motors sales fell 0.6%. A real mixed bag.  (Yahoo Finance)

Darden Restaurants, owner of Olive Garden, reported a quarterly profit of $110.2 million. The company posted revenue of $1.71 billion, up 1.6%. Olive Garden continues to show strength in its turnaround, as same-restaurant sales rose 2% during the quarter.  Darden Restaurants shares have dropped about 4% since the beginning of 2016. (AP)

Netflix shares were up 4% yesterday on talk that Disney is looking to buy the streaming video company. (CNBC)

Want to take that trip to England? As Brexit impact fears renew the British pound has dropped to a 31-year low of $1.27 to the dollar. (Fox Bus. News)

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.

Big Hunting and Fishing Merger

August consumer spending was flat the weakest in five months. The softer number was due to a drop in spending on autos. Personal incomes rose 0.2% during the month. Wages and salaries, the biggest income category, were up just 0.1% after two months of 0.5% increases. (CNBC)

In the wake of their fraudulent opening of 2 million client accounts without their knowledge, Wells Fargo is facing bans from doing business with the city of Chicago and the state of Illinois. California last week suspended the state's business relationships with Wells Fargo. (CNBC)

Big news in the hunting and fishing world. Bass Pro Shops is buying Cabela's in a deal valued at $5.5 billion. Under the agreement, Cabela's shareholders will receive $65.50 a share in cash. That is an over 15% premium to Fridays closing price. (Fox Business News)

They voted but no action has been taken since then.  Now Britain’s Prime Minister says they will leave the EU by 2019.  Lots of trade negotiations will take place between now and then. (Bloomberg)

With Northwest Quadrant Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor I am Troy Reinhart.
 

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